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Discussion 2026-09-14 · 18:33 ET
Is a ~90% hike probability the right Wednesday call — or is the room still 50/50?
Eric Balchunas flags a 90% vs 38% juxtaposition on rate-hike odds into the Fed meeting. Replies split between trusting economist/market hike pricing after a hot inflation print and a personal 50/50 that Wednesday can still go either way.
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Eric Balchunas

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Is a ~90% hike probability the right Wednesday call — or is the room still 50/50?
Eric Balchunas flags a 90% vs 38% juxtaposition on rate-hike odds into the Fed meeting. Replies split between trusting economist/market hike pricing after a hot inflation print and a personal 50/50 that Wednesday can still go either way.
Mon, 14 Sept 2026 · 18:33 ET Discussion top-replies